Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.336704 3.909956 4.570769 5.393165 6.395166 7.583887 9.112064
2025-01-12 2.522962 3.252394 4.194699 5.519876 7.365595 9.890993 13.688586
2025-01-19 2.036733 2.785893 3.825761 5.409075 7.821441 11.465837 17.603928
2025-01-26 1.839077 2.645490 3.836115 5.780107 8.991285 14.307793 24.286524
2025-02-02 1.660559 2.490018 3.779296 6.012954 9.970408 17.077870 31.809291
2025-02-09 1.528690 2.378195 3.760706 6.288439 11.066986 20.335971 41.495742
2025-02-16 1.389593 2.230107 3.652582 6.377377 11.830765 23.165456 51.450906
2025-02-23 1.279052 2.111929 3.573193 6.496585 12.672246 26.393476 63.791652
2025-03-02 1.160776 1.963241 3.414927 6.429724 13.105737 28.843087 75.317736
2025-03-09 1.082455 1.875366 3.354709 6.546124 13.965416 32.575805 92.482913
2025-03-16 0.994205 1.757855 3.220433 6.480455 14.386436 35.336134 108.240989
2025-03-23 0.920881 1.659889 3.111040 6.448769 14.882793 38.475473 127.299578
2025-03-30 0.832961 1.534192 2.950424 6.326291 15.270081 41.925698 152.215435
2025-04-06 0.775403 1.464102 2.901012 6.472367 16.480727 48.686528 198.585729
2025-04-13 0.704395 1.356324 2.752041 6.339169 16.861212 52.940788 238.638827
2025-04-20 0.682540 1.348400 2.823229 6.786785 19.153677 65.448910 340.581673
2025-04-27 0.651217 1.315480 2.831089 7.068206 21.042695 77.750493 464.450255
2025-05-04 0.625365 1.291042 2.854840 7.401634 23.261223 93.208238 646.148718
2025-05-11 0.589950 1.240155 2.805309 7.509386 24.723999 106.388201 844.906875
2025-05-18 0.559661 1.197457 2.769943 7.653893 26.409123 122.283441 1122.861216
2025-05-25 0.522401 1.133741 2.670451 7.572831 27.162466 133.793812 1394.774685
2025-06-01 0.497736 1.097830 2.639999 7.713971 28.951301 153.507108 1872.064873
2025-06-08 0.466857 1.043080 2.550328 7.634334 29.733671 167.636251 2341.538728